What happened to the most predictable (and allegedly boring) regular season in NBA history?
Injuries happened.
As they so often do.
The Cleveland Cavaliers lost Kevin Love indefinitely. The Golden State Warriors lost Kevin Durant indefinitely. The San Antonio Spurs just lost Kawhi Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge, although it's believed to be short term in Leonard's case while it's not yet clear with Aldridge.
The
Spurs have retained the top spot in ESPN.com's weekly NBA Power
Rankings on this Rankings Monday largely because they've played too well
in 2017 to be downgraded by the Committee (of One) until we know more
about Aldridge's scary bout with arrhythmia. But the increasing
health-related uncertainty plaguing the teams that have contested the
past two NBA Finals, as well as their foremost challengers from South
Texas, has spawned hope in cities such as Houston, Boston and the
nation's capital that another Warriors-Cavaliers showdown for the title
isn't the foregone conclusion so many of us have believed for months.
The Houston Rockets and Washington Wizards
have capitalized on the sudden instability at the top to make the most
notable jumps they've made all season. Houston is up to No. 2 and
Washington has risen to a surprising No. 3, while the Cavs (No. 4) and
especially the Warriors (No. 5) have tumbled to hard-to-believe depths.
The Warriors, though, believe their uncharacteristic struggles are tied
to their recent rough schedule as much as anything. We'll soon see how
right they are, with this week presenting much friendlier home dates
against Philadelphia, Orlando and Milwaukee after Golden State played 17
of its previous 24 games on the road.
Don't forget to tune into
the overnight SportsCenter that airs Tuesday at 1 a.m. ET for our weekly
video feature that accompanies these rankings. Profuse thanks, as
always, go to ESPN Stats & Information and the Elias Sports Bureau
-- with ESPN research ace Micah Adams running the point -- for all the
background data they supply to assist the Committee's efforts to arrange
things here properly.
Previous rankings: Week 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | Camp
1. San Antonio Spurs
2016-17 record: 51-14
Previous ranking: 1
Did you see how the Spurs clinched their 18th 50-win season in a row to extend a streak that began when Kawhi Leonard was just 7 years old? Without the just-resting Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge,
San Antonio rallied from 28 points down to beat Sacramento and clinch
its biggest comeback (regular season or postseason) in nearly 1,900
games under Gregg Popovich, whose run of consecutive 50-win campaigns is
now five longer than Pat Riley's 13 in a row and 10 longer than Phil
Jackson's or Red Auerbach's best runs (eight in a row). Leonard
(concussion) and Aldridge (heart arrhythmia) have since left the lineup
in worrying fashion, but it's not really shaky health prompting ESPN's
Basketball Power Index to give the Spurs just a 32 percent chance of
overtaking Golden State for the West's No. 1 seed. It's the schedule.
Although San Antonio can seize the top spot in the conference as early
as Monday night with a home win over Atlanta, Golden State has the more
favorable ride for the rest of the regular season, with 11 of its 16
remaining games at home and just seven of those against .500-or-better
teams. The Spurs play 10 of their remaining 17 games against
.500-or-better teams. Of course, according to the trusty BPI, Golden
State had 98 percent odds to finish with the No. 1 seed coming out of
the All-Star break and has seen those odds reduced to 68 percent by the
stubborn Spurs in less than a month.
2. Houston Rockets
2016-17 record: 46-21
Previous ranking: 4
The
Rockets, even after Sunday night's win over Cleveland, are a mere 15-16
this season against teams sporting .500-or-better records. They're also
just 15-12 since that 31-9 start that got folks so excited about
Houston's prospects in the first place. Do such #wellactually factoids
make you in any way hesitant to say that James Harden
& Co. are poised to capitalize on the potential health-related
vulnerabilities that have cropped up in Golden State and San Antonio? Or
are you more impressed by the fact that the Rockets emerged from what
ESPN's Basketball Power Index pinpointed as their most difficult
six-game stretch of the season with a 4-2 mark thanks to the win over
the Cavs? Houston ranks as one of just three teams all season that can
claim wins over San Antonio, Golden State and Cleveland. Yet it sounds
as though Harden himself has been hoping for more from the West's No. 3
seed than we've seen of late, telling local reporters Sunday night:
"We've proven [ourselves], but it's been a while. Tonight was a big game
for us."
3. Washington Wizards
2016-17 record: 41-24
Previous ranking: 5
Consider
Scotty Brooks firmly in the heart of the NBA's Coach of the Year race.
How could anyone argue after the Wizards won the first four games of a
five-game swing through the Western Conference to climb to No. 2 in the
East and give themselves a shot at a perfect trip if they can win Monday
night in Minneapolis? After starting 1-7 this season in the second
night of back-to-back sets, Washington has suddenly won its last five
games in that situation, thanks to wins in Denver on Wednesday night and
Portland on Saturday night. The road win over the Blazers was
especially memorable because the Wiz overcame a 21-point halftime
deficit; teams were 0-54 leaguewide this season when trailing by 21 or
more at intermission. It was the biggest such comeback for the Wiz since
the Committee's senior year of high school -- when they railed from 22
down at the half in Milwaukee in January 1987. The rally presumably
clinched Eastern Conference Player of the Week honors for the
ridiculously hot John Wall (who torched the Blazers for 39). The Wiz, folks, are 25-8 in 2017.
4. Cleveland Cavaliers
2016-17 record: 43-22
Previous ranking: 3
At 10-9 overall when Kevin Love
doesn't play and 6-6 since his latest injury, I think we're safe in
declaring that the Cavs miss him. The month of March, in fact, has
quickly taken on a January feel for LeBron James and his pals, with Cleveland at 2-5 since leaving a fun February behind and losing newcomer Andrew Bogut in the cruelest of fashions.
The Cavs, furthermore, rank 29th in the league in defensive efficiency
this month and are bizarrely just 2-4 in the last six games to feature a
LeBron triple-double. It was a 1-4 mark in such games until the Cavs
prevailed Saturday night in Orlando, giving James his career-high-tying
ninth triple-double of the season and first lifetime at the Amway Ceter,
which is the 20th NBA building to witness one from The King. (Russell Westbrook,
for the record, has recorded triple-doubles in 19 different arenas;
Oscar Robertson holds the league record with 31). No stat in Cleveland,
mind you, stands out at the minute more than the Cavs' status as the
league's No. 22 team for the season in defensive efficiency. The last NBA team to win it all after finishing outside the regular season top 10 in DE was the 2001 Los Angeles Lakers, who featured a reserve guard named Tyronn Lue.
5. Golden State Warriors
2016-17 record: 52-14
Previous ranking: 2
Let's clear something up as Stephen Curry prepares to celebrate his 29th birthday Tuesday: Curry was shooting 40.7 percent from 3-point range this season when Kevin Durant
went down with a knee sprain. That's obviously short of the elite
standard we've come to expect from Curry, but it's also a stretch to
suggest this has been some sort of long-term cold spell. Curry's
18-for-76 shooting on 3s in his last seven games, resulting in an
unsightly success rate of 27.7 percent, is the chief culprit in fueling
the perception that the two-time reigning MVP has lost his way -- with
Durant essentially missing six of those games. The Warriors, though,
have clearly suffered without No. 35 more than they ever imagined. After
joining Michael Jordan's
Bulls as the only two teams in league history to win 50 games in
back-to-back seasons before getting to game No. 60, Golden State has
gone 2-5 and failed to reach 90 points three times, starting with the
game in Washington in which it lost KD. The Warriors are also shooting
less than 35 percent from deep as a team on the road for the season,
which is going to be a costly problem in the playoffs if it persists.
6. Boston Celtics
2016-17 record: 42-25
Previous ranking: 8
Knowing
that you're the only team that can claim to be undefeated at Oracle
Arena since the start of last season is nice. Of far greater
significance to the Celtics, however, is the fact that they'll enjoy
what by all accounts ranks as the league's weakest schedule from here to
the regular-season finish line after winning their Golden State date
for the second successive spring, which should provide an opportunity to
undo some of the damage caused by their 2-5 record so far this season
against Toronto and Washington in the race for the East's No. 2 seed.
The combined winning percentage of Boston's 16 remaining opponents
entering Sunday's afternoon rout of Chicago was a mere .435. The Celts
won't leave the Eastern time zone for the rest of the season and will
travel fewer than 3,000 miles between now and the playoffs. The average
NBA team, according to research done by our own Micah Adams, will travel
nearly 9,000 miles during the season's final month.
7. Utah Jazz
2016-17 record: 41-25
Previous ranking: 7
It's
probably still somewhat difficult for longtime NBA watchers to process
that the Jazz -- who stand as the franchise Gregg Popovich sought to
model the Spurs after when he took over as San Antonio's coach early in
the 1996-97 season -- just surpassed 40 wins for the first time since
the 2012-13 season. Utah has won seven of its last 10 games overall and
boasts a record of 11-2 when Quin Snyder has the luxury of starting
George Hill, Rodney Hood and Derrick Favors alongside All-Star guard Gordon Hayward and Defensive Player of the Year candidate Rudy Gobert.
Snyder, though, didn't have that luxury once last week, as injuries
continued to force him to juggle lineups. The knee ailment that has
bothered Favors all season, as well as Hill's persistent toe woes,
continue to be issues in the SLC.
8. LA Clippers
2016-17 record: 40-26
Previous ranking: 9
It's
playoff preview time Monday night in Salt Lake City, when the
fourth-seeded Jazz play host to the fifth-seeded Clippers. The Clips are
an underwhelming 5-5 since the All-Star break, but you can rest assured
they have Utah's attention after winning (yikes) 17 of the teams' last
18 regular-season meetings, including two comfortable victories this
season and nine in a row as the visiting team. When these teams met a
month ago on Utah's floor, L.A. posted an 88-72 triumph despite the fact
that Chris Paul wasn't available to play, with Gordon Hayward and George Hill combining to shoot 4-for-23 from the field. Clippers center DeAndre Jordan is up to nine 20-rebound games this season, in case you've lost count, to move three ahead of Detroit's Andre Drummond and Miami's Hassan Whiteside
for the league lead. Here's an area where the Clips could stand to
improve: They're only 1-16 this season when trailing at any point in the
fourth quarter; only 1-29 Brooklyn is worse in that situation.
9. Toronto Raptors
2016-17 record: 38-28
Previous ranking: 6
The
Raptors are as aware as anyone that finishing third in the East would
be so much more beneficial to their long-term playoff prospects than
finishing fourth. That dream, though, might be slipping away, given that
both Washington and Boston sit 3 1/2 games ahead of Toronto with only
16 games left on the schedule for the Raps to make up ground. The
priority for Canada's team at this point, as it awaits the return of Kyle Lowry,
has to be holding onto the No. 4 seed to ensure home-court advantage
for its likely first-round showdown with Atlanta. Failure to hang on
there would thus mean surrendering home-court advantage to the Hawks in
Round 1 and having to face Cleveland one round earlier than last
season. Not the sort of spring they were hoping for north of the border
... especially since the summer to follow figures to be so expensive and
complicated thanks to the free agency that looms for both Lowry and
newly acquired Serge Ibaka.
10. Miami Heat
2016-17 record: 32-35
Previous ranking: 11
What
ranks as the bigger shocker at this point? Is it Miami's 21-5 record
since Jan. 17? Or is it the fact that the hottest team in the East still
hasn't cracked the conference's top eight? As well as the Heat have
played since Martin Luther King Day -- including two wins each over
Cleveland and Houston -- one suspects they would have found a way topple
Indiana on the road Sunday night had Goran Dragic been able to play. Dragic, of course, presumably can't see out of his right eye in the wake of an elbow from Toronto's Cory Joseph; check out this gruesome pic of The Dragon from longtime Heat beat writer Ira Winderman. The Heat have been a 3-point machine over these past 25 games, with Dion Waiters
playing the ball of his life, but it remains to be seen how much damage
was done by losing three times this season to their neighbors from
Orlando.
11. Oklahoma City Thunder
2016-17 record: 37-29
Previous ranking: 13
With
32 triple-doubles in 66 games, Russell Westbrook is on pace for 40 for
the season, which would fall just one shy of Oscar Robertson's all-time
record. Westbrook also has a 70 percent chance of averaging a
triple-double for the entire season, according to the latest projections from ESPN Insider's tireless Kevin Pelton,
with the Thunder up to 26-6 (.813) when Westbrook triple-doubles and
11-23 (.324) when he doesn't. After last week's triple-double against
the Spurs, Chicago and Charlotte stand as the last two teams left on the
league map that have prevented Westbrook from reaching triple-double
territory. Best of all, though, Oklahoma City has moved past slumping
Memphis for the West's No. 6 and would presumably prefer facing Houston
and James Harden in Round 1 than San Antonio or Golden State, no matter
how vulnerable the West's top two teams look as we speak.
12. Atlanta Hawks
2016-17 record: 37-29
Previous ranking: 15
Milwaukee
(six straight wins) and Washington (five) are in the midst of the the
league's longest active win streaks, so Atlanta's comparatively modest
three-gamer isn't likely to attract much attention. But it was a big
week nonetheless for Hawks point guard Dennis Schroder,
who finally gave us something to talk about besides his late return
from the All-Star break ... or that missed bus in Orlando ... or the
recent on-court beefing with Dwight Howard.
Schroder followed up a 31-point outburst in a too-close-for-comfort
home win over the Nets with 26 points, six boards and five assists in a
handy home win two nights later over Toronto. Atlanta is 9-1 this season
when the mercurial Schroder has scored 25 points or more.
13. Indiana Pacers
2016-17 record: 34-32
Previous ranking: 14
Maybe
the mere one-game gap that separates sixth-seeded Indiana and
seventh-seeded Detroit in the East is wider than it appears. The Pacers
last week completed a four-game season sweep of the Pistons to make it
six wins in a row over their division rivals and improve to a gaudy 26-7
in the teams' last 33 meetings. Yet it'll realistically take a few road
wins to bring the Pacers any lasting comfort, because they continue to
sport the worst away record (11-22) among the 16 teams leaguewide that
awoke Monday morning in a playoff spot. Two nights before its latest
Detroit demolition, Indy suffered a 12-point defeat at struggling
Charlotte in which it earned only three trips to the free-throw line all
night, good for a new franchise low in the team's 41-year NBA history.
14. Detroit Pistons
2016-17 record: 33-33
Previous ranking: 17
If Tobias Harris
starts one more game this season -- which seems likely given that Stan
Van Gundy couldn't resist putting him back in the starting lineup
Saturday night in a home rout of the Knicks -- he'll be officially out
of the Sixth Man Award race.
To remain mathematically alive for the award, Harris would have to play
in all of the Pistons' 16 remaining games and appear in a reserve in
them all because he has already made 40 starts. The Pistons, for the
record, are 15-11 when Harris comes off the bench and score nearly 10
more points per game, compared to their 18-21 mark when he starts.
Detroit's defense has stiffened significantly since Feb. 1, sparking a
12-6 surge from that date, but getting to 95 points appears to be the
true magical benchmark for Van Gundy's squad. The Pistons are 33-14 this
season when they score 95 points or more compared to 0-19 when they
fall short.
15. Milwaukee Bucks
2016-17 record: 32-33
Previous ranking: 18
When the Bucks lost Jabari Parker just as Khris Middleton
was coming back to the lineup, they were greeted with widespread
sympathy, since it essentially meant that they would be going an entire
season without their three best players sharing any court time. Now that
Milwaukee is off to a 6-1 start in March, sympathy is a memory ...
except for poor Jabari. You don't draw firm conclusions from wholly
unexpected six-game winning streaks, but Bucks devotees have to be
wondering if Parker (who turns 22 on Wednesday) really fits with this
team as well they'd hoped. By essentially swapping Parker for a two-way
force in Middleton, Milwaukee is starting to look as sneaky dangerous as
it did in Jason Kidd's first season on bench. Especially since Giannis Antetokounmpo
is two or three times the player he was then. Let's stop here, though,
before we get too far ahead of ourselves. Let's check back in after the
Bucks' crucial six-game road trip that opens Monday night in Memphis. If
they're still in playoff position after that ...
16. Portland Trail Blazers
2016-17 record: 29-36
Previous ranking: 19
Props to the Blazers. They recovered from the biggest halftime lead they've ever squandered at home, as well as a controversial finish against the Wiz
that inevitably infuriated them, to pull out a win in Phoenix to start a
crucial five-game road trip. Did beating the Suns get Saturday night's
events completely out of Portland's system? We'll have a better idea
when we see how the Blazers fare on their remaining stops on this
challenging journey, which serves up a New Orleans/San Antonio
back-to-back followed by an Atlanta/Miami back-to-back after two off
days in between. There is, however, some light at the end of the tunnel
for the Blazers in their chase for the West's final playoff berth, with
10 of their final 13 games at home after this trip. More light: Getting a
future first-round pick from Denver in addition to Jusuf Nurkic in exchange for Mason Plumlee looks more like a haul every day, with Nurkic sporting a PER of 21.7 as a Blazer.
17. Dallas Mavericks
2016-17 record: 28-37
Previous ranking: 16
It was shaping up to be the perfect homestand. Dirk Nowitzki reached the 30,000-point plateau
last Tuesday night against the Lakers in unforgettable fashion and only
a Saturday night date with the young Suns stood in the way of a 5-0
sweep for the Mavs on this extended run at the American Airlines Center.
But Devin Booker's
latest buzzer-beater inflicted a costly L for Dallas, which really
needed that 5-0 sweep because of the travel-filled scheduled it faces
for the rest of the regular season. Eleven of the Mavs' 17 remaining
games are roadies, which has to concern Rick Carlisle given the fact his
squad hasn't tasted success outside of Big D borders since a Feb. 3
victory at Portland in the Yogi Ferrell
Game. All six of Dallas' remaining home games, to compound matters, are
against current playoff teams. Nowitzki's moment, however, won't soon
be forgotten, especially after he clinched it with the second-fastest
burst of 20 points in his career. Those 20 points came in a span of just
13:02 against the Lakers; Elias says Dirk only did that faster (10:49)
in a December 2001 game against the Bulls back when he was 23 years old.
18. Denver Nuggets
2016-17 record: 31-35
Previous ranking: 19
The Nuggets survived the two games they were forced to play without an ill Nikola Jokic
by managing a split against Sacramento and Washington, then celebrated
the return of their franchise player by pounding the surging Celtics by
20 points. With 21 points, 10 rebounds, 7 assists and 4 steals in that
comeback game against Boston, Jokic became the first Nugget to hit all
of those benchmarks on the same night since Andre Miller during the
2003-04 season. After three games at home this week against the two L.A.
clubs and Houston, Denver will be trying to hang onto the West's No. 8
seed in the face of a travel-heavy schedule, with nine road dates among
the Nuggets' final 13 games. Amid all the raves Denver castoff Jusuf
Nurkic is generating in Portland, meanwhile, Mason Plumlee is averaging
8.8 points, 7.0 rebounds and 3.7 assists for the Nuggets.
19. Memphis Grizzlies
2016-17 record: 36-30
Previous ranking: 10
The
Grizzlies' next win in March, amazingly, will be their first. The
grit-grinders are 0-5 this month and have scarcely been competitive of
late, losing three home games last week by a combined 46 points to the
Nets, Clippers and Hawks. The first of those, of course, caused the
biggest ripple, since Brooklyn had arrived in town in a 1-18 tailspin.
Memphis has proven vulnerable to anyone and everyone lately, thanks to a
team defense that ranks 30th in the league in March in terms of defensive efficiency,
dragging the Grizz out of their familiar perch in the top five for the
season in DE. There's no real concern yet that these guys will slip all
the way down into the crowded race for the West's final playoff berth,
but they will be on the road for eight of 11 games after Monday's
home date with Milwaukee. Which means that the Grizz -- despite the
fact that they join Houston and Chicago on the short list of teams with
wins over Golden State, San Antonio and Cleveland -- might have to start
getting used to the idea that the seventh seed is their new domain.
20. Chicago Bulls
2016-17 record: 31-35
Previous ranking: 12
Just 11 days ago the Committee (of One) found itself on the United Center floor alongside Dwyane Wade,
trying to make sense of Chicago's 94-87 triumph over the Golden State
Warriors that had just stretched the Bulls' ridiculous regular-season
streak on TNT Thursdays to 19 wins in a row. Maybe that result wasn't as
surprising as it sounds, given that the Warriors were starting a game
without Kevin Durant for the first time, but the Bulls clearly never
should have let us leave town given what's happened since. Make it five
losses in a row for Chicago now to fall out of the East's top eight --
five straight games, furthermore, in which the Bulls have failed to
score more than 95 points. You have to go back to a similar six-game
stretch in March 2004 for the last time Chicago experienced such a run
of offensive futility, which occurred as part of a 23-59 season. Who
will ever figure out how the Bulls can go 8-3 against Cleveland,
Washington, Boston and Toronto -- and throw in victories over Golden State and San Antonio -- and lose all the games they do.
21. Minnesota Timberwolves
2016-17 record: 27-38
Previous ranking: 23
Back-to-back
home wins last week over the Clippers and Warriors, whatever the
circumstances, kept alive the Wolves' faint playoff hopes.
Realistically, though, Wolves diehards are advised to focus on what Karl-Anthony Towns
continues to do as opposed to getting too wrapped up in the standings
math, since 'Sota still has 3 ½ games to make up and three teams
(Denver, Portland and Dallas) to leapfrog with just 17 games left on its
schedule. Towns has returned from his All-Star snub with a vengeance,
averaging 28.0 points and 15.4 rebounds to spark the Wolves to a 5-3
mark since the break. He recently became the first player to record at
least 20 points and 14 boards in seven consecutive games in one season
since Charles Barkley
in 1989-90 and is averaging 24.2 PPG and 12.3 RPG for the season. The
only other player in NBA history to average 24-and-12 as a 21-year-old
is Shaquille O'Neal.
22. Charlotte Hornets
2016-17 record: 29-37
Previous ranking: 21
What
a difference a year makes. During the 2015-16 season, en route to a
48-34 mark, Charlotte was 5-0 in overtime games. This season? The
close-game-cursed Hornets are 0-6 when the game strays to OT after
Saturday night's home defeat to New Orleans and, worse yet, they have
suffered a league-leading 20 losses this season after taking a lead at
any point in the fourth quarter. That's four more, in case you're
wondering, than the next team in line; Philly has incurred 16 such
defeats. The 11th-seeded Hornets, to only add to their frustration,
enter the season's final month boasting an average nightly point margin
of plus-0.9. The last Eastern Conference team to miss the playoffs with
an average scoring margin that robust was Detroit nearly two decades ago
(plus-1.6 in 1997-98).
23. New Orleans Pelicans
2016-17 record: 26-40
Previous ranking: 22
The numbers are impossible to ignore. Since Anthony Davis
and DeMarcus Cousins became teammates, New Orleans is minus-22 in the
163 minutes of court time those two have shared, minus-28 in the 101
minutes that Cousins has logged without Davis ... and plus-19 in the 156
minutes that Davis has logged without Cousins. The Pels, in other
words, continue to struggle to find a good flow with both of their
All-Star big men on the floor and little in the way of proven perimeter
shooting around them, which helps explain why they remain on the fringes
of playoff contention, five full games out of the West's No. 8 spot
with just 16 left on the schedule. Yet we really can't say enough about
what The Brow did Saturday night on his 24th birthday; Davis' 46 points
and 21 rebounds in an overtime victory in Charlotte -- with zero
turnovers -- put him in a rather exclusive club. Shaquille O'Neal (in
1994-95) and Moses Malone
(in 1981-82) are the only other players in league history to post a
40/20 game without a single turnover since the NBA began tracking TOs in
1977-78. The Elias Sports Bureau says Davis is also just the fourth
player in NBA annals to post a 40/20 game on his birthday, joining Neil
Johnston, Elvin Hayes and Shaq.
24. Orlando Magic
2016-17 record: 24-43
Previous ranking: 26
Quick!
Name the five active players who rank as their team's all-time
franchise leader in triple-doubles. The first four should be fairly
obvious: Oklahoma City's Russell Westbrook (69), Cleveland's LeBron
James (42), Houston's James Harden (25) and Toronto's Kyle Lowry (7).
The fifth might surprise you; Orlando's much-maligned Elfrid Payton
is up to five career triple-doubles in his three pro seasons after he
reached the milestone in back-to-back games last week against the Knicks
and Bulls. OK, OK. Maybe milestone is the wrong word when the
Magic split the two games and sit 19 games under .500. But it's the
second time in his career that Payton has managed a triple-double in
consecutive games. And Orlando, at this point, is understandably
searching for even the smallest victories to savor.
25. Phoenix Suns
2016-17 record: 22-45
Previous ranking: 25
Make
it two buzzer-beaters this season for Devin Booker and four for the
Suns among their 22 wins. Booker is the only player in the league with
multiple daggers at the horn this season; Phoenix has twice as many
game-winners at the buzzer as its closest pursuer (Milwaukee has two).
The obvious challenge for the Suns, in the midst of their latest youth
movement, is getting into that position more often for Booker or Eric Bledsoe (or even Tyler Ulis)
to deliver the dagger. Maybe we're being overly demanding, but the
Committee would like to see Booker hike his PER over the 15 mark by
season's end if possible, since he continues to sit slightly below the
league average. The reality, though, is that Booker's shooting
percentages (43.1 percent from the field; 37.2 percent from 3-point
range) are passable given the offensive load and degree of difficulty
he's been forced to shoulder at a mere 20 years old. (Suns-related
aside: One of our favorite parts from this week's soon-to-post TrueHoop
Conversations podcast with tennis star Andy Murray is how he openly
laments not hanging onto Alan Williams in his fantasy league. Williams has posted a points/rebounds double-double in seven of his last nine outings.)
26. Philadelphia 76ers
2016-17 record: 24-42
Previous ranking: 24
Give it up for Dario Saric. The Sixers' other rookie big man has clearly heard all the talk about the lack of options Rookie of the Year voters possess in the wake of Joel Embiid's
early end to the season and is trying to rectify the matter
single-handedly. Saric rumbled for a career-best 28 points in Thursday's
narrow loss at Portland, then bettered that performance with 29 points
in Sunday's two-point triumph over the Lakers at Staples Center. He sank
seven 3-pointers in the two games and is averaging an encouraging 19.6
points, 7.3 rebounds and 4.0 assists in March. Let's see what he can do in the 16 games that remain on Philly's schedule to give us a viable alternative.
27. New York Knicks
2016-17 record: 26-41
Previous ranking: 27
Saturday
marks the third anniversary of Phil Jackson's return to the Knicks as
president of basketball operations. Knicks fans are thus advised to
brace themselves for a long, painful week of pointed reminders from the
Gotham press that spell out (again and again) just how rocky the ride
has been. The Knicks are no closer to true contention than they were
when Jackson arrived as their latest supposed savior in March 2014. Some
would say they're as far away from contention as they've been in the
new millennium after surrendering 120 points Sunday night in Brooklyn to
fall to the 11-win Nets. With the Zen Master pushing his beloved
triangle offense as hard as he ever has in New York, it remains to be
seen if Carmelo Anthony's
resolve to outlast Phil will hold up through the forthcoming offseason.
Yet the real concern now has to be what all this constant losing and
tension is doing to Kristaps Porzingis, who spoke of confusion "from top to bottom" after the Brooklyn loss. Props to Porzingis, though, for trying to find the bright side
and insisting that he'll ultimately benefit from all the chaos he's
seen in his young career to date, saying: "There's a quote, 'If the sea
is smooth, you're never going to become a great sailor.'"
28. Sacramento Kings
2016-17 record: 25-41
Previous ranking: 28
With
eight straight defeats, good for the league's longest active losing
streak, Sacramento has quietly sunk to the depths of the league's
sixth-worst record. Yet that's precisely what the Kings should be doing
in the wake of the DeMarcus Cousins
trade, hard as it must be for owner Vivek Ranadive to stomach in the
first year of the long-awaited new Golden 1 Center. The Kings, as we'll
keep noting over and over in this comment cyberspace, have to finish in
the top 10 in the lottery in May to ensure that they keep their
first-round pick in June rather than ship it to Chicago. The first-round
pick Sacramento received in the Cousins deal from the Pels, meanwhile,
is only top-three protected, which means the Kings are on course for the
No. 6 and No. 7 picks in the 2017 NBA draft as we speak.
The nightmare scenario for the Kings, of course, would be New Orleans
jumping into the draft's top three via the May lottery, enabling the
Pelicans to keep the pick. For the moment, though, Sacramento has to be
encouraged.
29. Los Angeles Lakers
2016-17 record: 20-46
Previous ranking: 29
No longer are the Lakers winless since the All-Star break. They brought a halt to their 11-game losing streak in the desert and mustered a timely response to Luke Walton's claim
that they played "soft" two nights earlier in Dallas by ringing up a
122-110 victory at Phoenix on Thursday night after six consecutive
defeats coming out of All-Star Weekend. The Lakers' direction, though,
should be rather clear by now. Nick Young has just been moved out of the starting lineup -- replaced by recent NBA D-League callup David Nwaba -- as Walton inevitably prioritizes youth amid a tank job that can't be avoided. Rookie center Ivica Zubac
also figures to get more playing time now as the Lakers do everything
in their power to enhances their odds for a top-three lottery finish
that would enable them to keep their first-round pick in June.
30. Brooklyn Nets
2016-17 record: 12-53
Previous ranking: 30
The
Nets are the only team in the league with the little "e" next to their
name in ESPN's NBA standings, which obviously denotes that they've
already been eliminated from postseason consideration. A good month --
by the standards of this incredibly challenging season for Brooklyn's
die-hard fans out there -- continued last week with two more wins as
well as increased minutes for the back-from-injury Jeremy Lin.
Sunday's victory over the Knicks, on "Biggie Night" in honor of
Notorious B.I.G., inevitably got most of the headlines. But we owe an
overdue hat-tip to Nets center Brook Lopez,
who recently became just the second player in club history to crack the
10,000-point plateau. Lopez is up to 10,108 career points, closing in
on all-time Nets leader Buck Williams (10,440). (The fact that the Nets
don't have a 20,000-point scorer in their long NBA history, mind you,
tells just how fleeting success has been for this franchise.)
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